Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000571 0.000652 0.000737 0.000834 0.000941 0.001056 0.001187
2025-10-26 0.000442 0.000552 0.000677 0.000828 0.001005 0.001205 0.001447
2025-11-02 0.000378 0.000501 0.000648 0.000834 0.001060 0.001325 0.001655
2025-11-09 0.000326 0.000457 0.000620 0.000833 0.001102 0.001425 0.001839
2025-11-16 0.000275 0.000407 0.000577 0.000807 0.001106 0.001476 0.001962
2025-11-23 0.000236 0.000367 0.000543 0.000788 0.001115 0.001529 0.002084
2025-11-30 0.000209 0.000341 0.000522 0.000784 0.001141 0.001603 0.002233
2025-12-07 0.000187 0.000318 0.000505 0.000782 0.001168 0.001677 0.002383
2025-12-14 0.000165 0.000294 0.000484 0.000771 0.001182 0.001732 0.002509
2025-12-21 0.000146 0.000271 0.000462 0.000757 0.001189 0.001778 0.002622
2025-12-28 0.000137 0.000265 0.000463 0.000777 0.001243 0.001889 0.002825
2026-01-04 0.000127 0.000255 0.000459 0.000788 0.001286 0.001983 0.003007
2026-01-11 0.000114 0.000238 0.000443 0.000781 0.001301 0.002042 0.003143
2026-01-18 0.000102 0.000223 0.000427 0.000773 0.001314 0.002097 0.003275
2026-01-25 0.000094 0.000214 0.000421 0.000779 0.001349 0.002184 0.003453
2026-02-01 0.000085 0.000202 0.000411 0.000778 0.001372 0.002253 0.003607
2026-02-08 0.000074 0.000184 0.000387 0.000754 0.001357 0.002266 0.003678
2026-02-15 0.000065 0.000170 0.000369 0.000735 0.001351 0.002289 0.003766
2026-02-22 0.000059 0.000161 0.000359 0.000732 0.001367 0.002347 0.003905
2026-03-01 0.000054 0.000152 0.000350 0.000730 0.001385 0.002409 0.004051
2026-03-08 0.000048 0.000143 0.000338 0.000720 0.001390 0.002450 0.004165
2026-03-15 0.000043 0.000133 0.000324 0.000707 0.001389 0.002480 0.004264
2026-03-22 0.000041 0.000131 0.000327 0.000725 0.001442 0.002597 0.004498